Your test data
Variant A — control
Variant B — challenger
Sample-size planner
Before you run a test, find out how much traffic you need to reliably catch a given lift at 95% confidence.
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Result
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Statistical confidence
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Variant A rate
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Variant B rate
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Relative lift (B vs A)
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P-value
Enter visitors and conversions to see the result.
Significance tells you how likely this difference is real rather than random chance — 95%+ is the usual bar to call a winner.
How to read this
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Drop your email and we'll send your significance results plus a short, specific note on what we'd test next to compound the win. No deck, no pitch — just the next move.
Calculator questions
Statistical significance is how confident you can be that the difference between your two variants is real and not just random chance. This calculator reports it as a confidence percentage from a two-proportion z-test. The industry convention is 95% — at or above that, the result is treated as significant and the winning variant is unlikely to be a fluke.
There's no fixed number — it depends on your baseline conversion rate and the size of the lift you're trying to detect. Smaller lifts need far more traffic. As a rule of thumb, keep the test running until confidence reaches 95% and each variant has at least a few hundred conversions, and never stop the moment it crosses the line, since early peeks inflate false positives.
A big relative lift on a small sample is fragile — a handful of extra conversions can swing it. Significance weighs the size of the difference against how much data backs it up, so a 40% lift on 50 visitors per variant can easily land below 95% confidence. Keep the test running to gather more data before you call it.